unit 01 grader runs nightly rules +5% / 2h / no stop / posted T+1 (next morning) posted Aug 29, 2026 at 07:00 EDT

The Graded Tapeby Verbatim · established July 13, 2026

Every signal our system fires in real time during the session is graded by a machine against one set of rules fixed before the day begins, and published the next morning, including the misses.

what this is
  • A custom neural network ensemble, built by one trader, reads the market minute by minute.
  • When it predicts a +5% move, the signal alerts in real time.
  • A machine grades every signal overnight against fixed rules and posts the results here by morning, wins and misses alike.
  • Follow the journey at Verbatim Sigma.

posted Aug 29, 2026 at 07:00 EDT / fully automated

training runs · six members walking forward
data through Aug 28, 2026 · re-drawn nightly0.300.400181362543724905training window (walk-forward index)precision @ 1% FPRwindow 0: v1_champion 0.281 / v4_twohead 0.282 / v6_pruned 0.275 / v8_noewc 0.281 / logistic 0.268window 8: v1_champion 0.359 / v4_twohead 0.357 / v6_pruned 0.354 / v8_noewc 0.358 / logistic 0.333window 16: v1_champion 0.356 / v4_twohead 0.357 / v6_pruned 0.355 / v8_noewc 0.356 / logistic 0.336window 24: v1_champion 0.346 / v4_twohead 0.348 / v6_pruned 0.343 / v8_noewc 0.346 / logistic 0.326window 32: v1_champion 0.343 / v4_twohead 0.346 / v6_pruned 0.340 / v8_noewc 0.343 / logistic 0.321window 40: v1_champion 0.341 / v4_twohead 0.342 / v6_pruned 0.340 / v8_noewc 0.342 / logistic 0.318window 48: v1_champion 0.334 / v4_twohead 0.335 / v6_pruned 0.334 / v8_noewc 0.335 / logistic 0.312window 56: v1_champion 0.332 / v4_twohead 0.335 / v6_pruned 0.332 / v8_noewc 0.333 / logistic 0.312window 64: v1_champion 0.340 / v4_twohead 0.344 / v6_pruned 0.341 / v8_noewc 0.341 / logistic 0.321window 72: v1_champion 0.342 / v4_twohead 0.345 / v6_pruned 0.344 / v8_noewc 0.344 / logistic 0.325window 80: v1_champion 0.347 / v4_twohead 0.348 / v6_pruned 0.348 / v8_noewc 0.348 / logistic 0.328window 88: v1_champion 0.353 / v4_twohead 0.353 / v6_pruned 0.355 / v8_noewc 0.354 / logistic 0.334window 96: v1_champion 0.354 / v4_twohead 0.351 / v6_pruned 0.354 / v8_noewc 0.353 / logistic 0.334window 104: v1_champion 0.355 / v4_twohead 0.353 / v6_pruned 0.355 / v8_noewc 0.353 / logistic 0.335window 112: v1_champion 0.357 / v4_twohead 0.353 / v6_pruned 0.356 / v8_noewc 0.354 / logistic 0.336window 120: v1_champion 0.351 / v4_twohead 0.344 / v6_pruned 0.350 / v8_noewc 0.347 / logistic 0.327window 128: v1_champion 0.342 / v4_twohead 0.335 / v6_pruned 0.341 / v8_noewc 0.337 / logistic 0.317window 136: v1_champion 0.331 / v4_twohead 0.324 / v6_pruned 0.330 / v8_noewc 0.327 / logistic 0.307window 144: v1_champion 0.325 / v4_twohead 0.320 / v6_pruned 0.326 / v8_noewc 0.323 / logistic 0.305window 152: v1_champion 0.320 / v4_twohead 0.316 / v6_pruned 0.322 / v8_noewc 0.320 / logistic 0.303window 160: v1_champion 0.323 / v4_twohead 0.319 / v6_pruned 0.325 / v8_noewc 0.323 / logistic 0.306window 168: v1_champion 0.320 / v4_twohead 0.318 / v6_pruned 0.322 / v8_noewc 0.323 / logistic 0.306window 176: v1_champion 0.327 / v4_twohead 0.322 / v6_pruned 0.327 / v8_noewc 0.328 / logistic 0.312window 184: v1_champion 0.329 / v4_twohead 0.325 / v6_pruned 0.330 / v8_noewc 0.332 / logistic 0.315window 192: v1_champion 0.336 / v4_twohead 0.332 / v6_pruned 0.337 / v8_noewc 0.340 / logistic 0.323window 200: v1_champion 0.334 / v4_twohead 0.330 / v6_pruned 0.335 / v8_noewc 0.337 / logistic 0.317window 208: v1_champion 0.333 / v4_twohead 0.330 / v6_pruned 0.334 / v8_noewc 0.337 / logistic 0.316window 216: v1_champion 0.339 / v4_twohead 0.335 / v6_pruned 0.340 / v8_noewc 0.342 / logistic 0.324window 224: v1_champion 0.348 / v4_twohead 0.342 / v6_pruned 0.347 / v8_noewc 0.350 / logistic 0.330window 232: v1_champion 0.356 / v4_twohead 0.348 / v6_pruned 0.355 / v8_noewc 0.359 / logistic 0.338window 240: v1_champion 0.366 / v4_twohead 0.358 / v6_pruned 0.358 / v8_noewc 0.368 / logistic 0.347window 248: v1_champion 0.359 / v4_twohead 0.354 / v6_pruned 0.351 / v8_noewc 0.360 / logistic 0.342window 256: v1_champion 0.365 / v4_twohead 0.361 / v6_pruned 0.357 / v8_noewc 0.366 / logistic 0.350window 264: v1_champion 0.376 / v4_twohead 0.370 / v6_pruned 0.367 / v8_noewc 0.373 / logistic 0.361window 272: v1_champion 0.384 / v4_twohead 0.381 / v6_pruned 0.375 / v8_noewc 0.381 / logistic 0.370window 280: v1_champion 0.386 / v4_twohead 0.383 / v6_pruned 0.377 / v8_noewc 0.382 / logistic 0.371window 288: v1_champion 0.389 / v4_twohead 0.387 / v6_pruned 0.381 / v8_noewc 0.384 / logistic 0.373window 296: v1_champion 0.388 / v4_twohead 0.388 / v6_pruned 0.385 / v8_noewc 0.383 / logistic 0.372window 304: v1_champion 0.391 / v4_twohead 0.389 / v6_pruned 0.389 / v8_noewc 0.387 / logistic 0.374window 312: v1_champion 0.400 / v4_twohead 0.392 / v6_pruned 0.397 / v8_noewc 0.396 / logistic 0.381window 320: v1_champion 0.400 / v4_twohead 0.391 / v6_pruned 0.397 / v8_noewc 0.397 / logistic 0.379window 328: v1_champion 0.391 / v4_twohead 0.382 / v6_pruned 0.387 / v8_noewc 0.388 / logistic 0.369window 336: v1_champion 0.389 / v4_twohead 0.377 / v6_pruned 0.384 / v8_noewc 0.385 / logistic 0.371window 344: v1_champion 0.389 / v4_twohead 0.379 / v6_pruned 0.387 / v8_noewc 0.387 / logistic 0.375window 352: v1_champion 0.386 / v4_twohead 0.377 / v6_pruned 0.384 / v8_noewc 0.385 / logistic 0.375window 360: v1_champion 0.387 / v4_twohead 0.378 / v6_pruned 0.387 / v8_noewc 0.386 / logistic 0.378window 368: v1_champion 0.381 / v4_twohead 0.374 / v6_pruned 0.382 / v8_noewc 0.379 / logistic 0.371window 376: v1_champion 0.375 / v4_twohead 0.371 / v6_pruned 0.377 / v8_noewc 0.373 / logistic 0.364window 384: v1_champion 0.379 / v4_twohead 0.375 / v6_pruned 0.382 / v8_noewc 0.376 / logistic 0.372window 392: v1_champion 0.384 / v4_twohead 0.378 / v6_pruned 0.385 / v8_noewc 0.379 / logistic 0.374window 400: v1_champion 0.376 / v4_twohead 0.373 / v6_pruned 0.378 / v8_noewc 0.372 / logistic 0.365window 408: v1_champion 0.373 / v4_twohead 0.369 / v6_pruned 0.374 / v8_noewc 0.369 / logistic 0.359window 416: v1_champion 0.373 / v4_twohead 0.364 / v6_pruned 0.373 / v8_noewc 0.367 / logistic 0.358window 424: v1_champion 0.366 / v4_twohead 0.364 / v6_pruned 0.370 / v8_noewc 0.366 / logistic 0.358window 432: v1_champion 0.367 / v4_twohead 0.366 / v6_pruned 0.371 / v8_noewc 0.369 / logistic 0.362window 440: v1_champion 0.375 / v4_twohead 0.374 / v6_pruned 0.377 / v8_noewc 0.375 / logistic 0.368window 448: v1_champion 0.378 / v4_twohead 0.378 / v6_pruned 0.382 / v8_noewc 0.382 / logistic 0.372window 456: v1_champion 0.376 / v4_twohead 0.376 / v6_pruned 0.381 / v8_noewc 0.380 / logistic 0.373window 464: v1_champion 0.379 / v4_twohead 0.377 / v6_pruned 0.383 / v8_noewc 0.382 / logistic 0.375window 472: v1_champion 0.385 / v4_twohead 0.388 / v6_pruned 0.389 / v8_noewc 0.390 / logistic 0.383window 480: v1_champion 0.391 / v4_twohead 0.388 / v6_pruned 0.390 / v8_noewc 0.391 / logistic 0.383window 488: v1_champion 0.404 / v4_twohead 0.396 / v6_pruned 0.402 / v8_noewc 0.401 / logistic 0.395window 496: v1_champion 0.417 / v4_twohead 0.409 / v6_pruned 0.413 / v8_noewc 0.414 / logistic 0.408window 504: v1_champion 0.410 / v4_twohead 0.403 / v6_pruned 0.407 / v8_noewc 0.407 / logistic 0.400window 512: v1_champion 0.412 / v4_twohead 0.404 / v6_pruned 0.409 / v8_noewc 0.408 / logistic 0.402window 520: v1_champion 0.413 / v4_twohead 0.404 / v6_pruned 0.409 / v8_noewc 0.407 / logistic 0.401window 528: v1_champion 0.410 / v4_twohead 0.401 / v6_pruned 0.405 / v8_noewc 0.404 / logistic 0.396window 536: v1_champion 0.404 / v4_twohead 0.397 / v6_pruned 0.402 / v8_noewc 0.400 / logistic 0.391window 544: v1_champion 0.393 / v4_twohead 0.390 / v6_pruned 0.392 / v8_noewc 0.391 / logistic 0.379window 552: v1_champion 0.379 / v4_twohead 0.378 / v6_pruned 0.381 / v8_noewc 0.378 / logistic 0.366window 560: v1_champion 0.350 / v4_twohead 0.372 / v6_pruned 0.364 / v8_noewc 0.355 / logistic 0.361window 568: v1_champion 0.352 / v4_twohead 0.374 / v6_pruned 0.365 / v8_noewc 0.356 / logistic 0.351window 576: v1_champion 0.353 / v4_twohead 0.377 / v6_pruned 0.365 / v8_noewc 0.359 / logistic 0.350window 584: v1_champion 0.352 / v4_twohead 0.373 / v6_pruned 0.365 / v8_noewc 0.359 / logistic 0.350window 592: v1_champion 0.354 / v4_twohead 0.373 / v6_pruned 0.366 / v8_noewc 0.359 / logistic 0.353window 600: v1_champion 0.360 / v4_twohead 0.377 / v6_pruned 0.372 / v8_noewc 0.365 / logistic 0.357window 608: v1_champion 0.364 / v4_twohead 0.381 / v6_pruned 0.375 / v8_noewc 0.369 / logistic 0.361window 616: v1_champion 0.372 / v4_twohead 0.380 / v6_pruned 0.376 / v8_noewc 0.374 / logistic 0.358window 624: v1_champion 0.378 / v4_twohead 0.375 / v6_pruned 0.381 / v8_noewc 0.382 / logistic 0.360window 632: v1_champion 0.372 / v4_twohead 0.368 / v6_pruned 0.374 / v8_noewc 0.375 / logistic 0.359window 640: v1_champion 0.363 / v4_twohead 0.361 / v6_pruned 0.366 / v8_noewc 0.368 / logistic 0.352window 648: v1_champion 0.358 / v4_twohead 0.359 / v6_pruned 0.362 / v8_noewc 0.364 / logistic 0.350window 656: v1_champion 0.355 / v4_twohead 0.356 / v6_pruned 0.359 / v8_noewc 0.363 / logistic 0.347window 664: v1_champion 0.350 / v4_twohead 0.349 / v6_pruned 0.352 / v8_noewc 0.356 / logistic 0.343window 672: v1_champion 0.350 / v4_twohead 0.345 / v6_pruned 0.347 / v8_noewc 0.354 / logistic 0.340window 680: v1_champion 0.349 / v4_twohead 0.342 / v6_pruned 0.343 / v8_noewc 0.351 / logistic 0.341window 688: v1_champion 0.351 / v4_twohead 0.348 / v6_pruned 0.345 / v8_noewc 0.353 / logistic 0.344window 696: v1_champion 0.352 / v4_twohead 0.345 / v6_pruned 0.344 / v8_noewc 0.353 / logistic 0.344window 704: v1_champion 0.353 / v4_twohead 0.344 / v6_pruned 0.342 / v8_noewc 0.354 / logistic 0.341window 712: v1_champion 0.347 / v4_twohead 0.337 / v6_pruned 0.337 / v8_noewc 0.346 / logistic 0.333window 720: v1_champion 0.342 / v4_twohead 0.332 / v6_pruned 0.334 / v8_noewc 0.339 / logistic 0.330window 728: v1_champion 0.336 / v4_twohead 0.332 / v6_pruned 0.335 / v8_noewc 0.338 / logistic 0.331window 736: v1_champion 0.334 / v4_twohead 0.328 / v6_pruned 0.335 / v8_noewc 0.333 / logistic 0.329window 744: v1_champion 0.337 / v4_twohead 0.326 / v6_pruned 0.335 / v8_noewc 0.332 / logistic 0.333window 752: v1_champion 0.336 / v4_twohead 0.330 / v6_pruned 0.338 / v8_noewc 0.333window 760: v1_champion 0.343 / v4_twohead 0.335 / v6_pruned 0.345 / v8_noewc 0.340window 768: v1_champion 0.339 / v4_twohead 0.340 / v6_pruned 0.344 / v8_noewc 0.338window 776: v1_champion 0.340 / v4_twohead 0.345 / v6_pruned 0.343 / v8_noewc 0.343window 784: v1_champion 0.347 / v4_twohead 0.348 / v6_pruned 0.348 / v8_noewc 0.347window 792: v1_champion 0.349 / v4_twohead 0.347 / v6_pruned 0.343 / v8_noewc 0.347window 800: v1_champion 0.348 / v4_twohead 0.349 / v6_pruned 0.347 / v8_noewc 0.351window 808: v1_champion 0.356 / v4_twohead 0.359 / v6_pruned 0.356 / v8_noewc 0.363window 816: v1_champion 0.354 / v4_twohead 0.361 / v6_pruned 0.357 / v8_noewc 0.362window 824: v1_champion 0.355 / v4_twohead 0.358 / v6_pruned 0.356 / v8_noewc 0.360window 832: v1_champion 0.358 / v4_twohead 0.358 / v6_pruned 0.359 / v8_noewc 0.363window 840: v1_champion 0.367 / v4_twohead 0.367 / v6_pruned 0.369 / v8_noewc 0.371window 848: v1_champion 0.374 / v4_twohead 0.374 / v6_pruned 0.378 / v8_noewc 0.380window 856: v1_champion 0.386 / v4_twohead 0.387 / v6_pruned 0.391 / v8_noewc 0.391window 864: v1_champion 0.388 / v4_twohead 0.387 / v6_pruned 0.392 / v8_noewc 0.391window 872: v1_champion 0.383 / v4_twohead 0.379 / v6_pruned 0.388 / v8_noewc 0.386window 880: v1_champion 0.386 / v4_twohead 0.379 / v6_pruned 0.391 / v8_noewc 0.388 / sig_m32_R512 0.365window 888: v1_champion 0.388 / v4_twohead 0.383 / v6_pruned 0.393 / v8_noewc 0.391 / sig_m32_R512 0.381window 896: v1_champion 0.382 / v4_twohead 0.375 / v6_pruned 0.388 / v8_noewc 0.385 / sig_m32_R512 0.384window 904: v1_champion 0.377 / v4_twohead 0.369 / v6_pruned 0.382 / v8_noewc 0.380 / sig_m32_R512 0.381window 905: v1_champion 0.376 / v4_twohead 0.368 / v6_pruned 0.380 / v8_noewc 0.378 / sig_m32_R512 0.379logistic: 0.336 at window 750 (751 windows on the ledger)sig_m32_R512: 0.379 at window 905 (28 windows on the ledger)v8_noewc: 0.378 at window 905 (906 windows on the ledger)v6_pruned: 0.380 at window 905 (906 windows on the ledger)v4_twohead: 0.368 at window 905 (906 windows on the ledger)v1_champion: 0.376 at window 905 (906 windows on the ledger)
v1_championv4_twoheadv6_prunedv8_noewcsig_m32_R512logistic
One line per ensemble member: precision at a 1% false-positive budget, 60-window rolling mean, appended every night when the models retrain. The newest member’s line is short because its history is short.
Raw market datavendor flatfiles, per minuteData preparation11 automated stepsNeural ensemblesix members, prob-mean (predictions averaged)Intraday signalsfired in real time, timestampedMachine gradingcode, unattendedThe public taperebuilt nightly, numbers locked in
No human step between the data and the tape: the record cannot be edited, only appended. The loop runs every night: the models retrain on yesterday’s data, and the tape re-posts by morning.
now reading Aug 28, 2026 / 205 graded / 72 hit / −$136.97 on paper
01

The daily run

One segment per graded trading day, newest first. The strip runs in sequence and stays unbroken, so a losing day stays on the tape as the next segment.

Aug 28, 2026Fri
205 graded · 72 hit · 35%
−$1,107.42 net to date
−$136.97
Aug 27, 2026Thu
226 graded · 59 hit · 26%
−$970.45 net to date
−$111.98
Aug 26, 2026Wed
195 graded · 66 hit · 34%
−$858.47 net to date
+$123.66
Aug 24, 2026Mon
228 graded · 64 hit · 28%
−$982.13 net to date
+$140.96
Aug 21, 2026Fri
252 graded · 82 hit · 33%
−$1,123.09 net to date
+$168.89
Aug 20, 2026Thu
218 graded · 75 hit · 34%
−$1,291.98 net to date
+$52.77
Aug 19, 2026Wed
267 graded · 98 hit · 37%
−$1,344.75 net to date
−$60.25
Aug 18, 2026Tue
223 graded · 83 hit · 37%
−$1,284.50 net to date
+$83.12
Aug 17, 2026Mon
195 graded · 63 hit · 32%
−$1,367.62 net to date
−$10.27
Aug 14, 2026Fri
231 graded · 54 hit · 23%
−$1,357.35 net to date
−$210.73
Aug 13, 2026Thu
235 graded · 65 hit · 28%
−$1,146.62 net to date
−$158.14
Aug 12, 2026Wed
219 graded · 71 hit · 32%
−$988.48 net to date
−$101.42
Aug 11, 2026Tue
198 graded · 61 hit · 31%
−$887.06 net to date
−$112.73
Aug 10, 2026Mon
261 graded · 100 hit · 38%
−$774.33 net to date
−$21.76
Aug 7, 2026Fri
329 graded · 104 hit · 32%
−$752.57 net to date
−$16.74
Aug 6, 2026Thu
264 graded · 94 hit · 36%
−$735.83 net to date
+$120.05
Aug 5, 2026Wed
86 graded · 26 hit · 30%
−$855.88 net to date
−$79.47
Aug 4, 2026Tue
198 graded · 58 hit · 29%
−$776.41 net to date
−$63.28
Jul 31, 2026Fri
301 graded · 97 hit · 32%
−$713.13 net to date
−$830.64
Jul 30, 2026Thu
249 graded · 93 hit · 37%
+$117.51 net to date
+$656.04
data through Aug 28, 2026 · re-drawn nightlyJul 14: 20 hits of 44 graded (45.5%), +$173.26Jul 14: 24 misses of 44 graded45%Jul 14Jul 15: 43 hits of 131 graded (32.8%), −$165.10Jul 15: 88 misses of 131 graded33%Jul 16: 28 hits of 114 graded (24.6%), −$269.95Jul 16: 86 misses of 114 graded25%Jul 17: 29 hits of 74 graded (39.2%), −$99.44Jul 17: 45 misses of 74 graded39%Jul 20: 30 hits of 86 graded (34.9%), +$133.04Jul 20: 56 misses of 86 graded35%Jul 20Jul 21: 28 hits of 84 graded (33.3%), −$25.08Jul 21: 56 misses of 84 graded33%Jul 22: 50 hits of 90 graded (55.6%), −$163.80Jul 22: 40 misses of 90 graded56%Jul 23: 29 hits of 82 graded (35.4%), −$122.37Jul 23: 53 misses of 82 graded35%Jul 24: 69 hits of 192 graded (35.9%), +$105.68Jul 24: 123 misses of 192 graded36%Jul 24Jul 27: 38 hits of 167 graded (22.8%), −$77.34Jul 27: 129 misses of 167 graded23%Jul 28: 135 hits of 253 graded (53.4%), +$602.79Jul 28: 118 misses of 253 graded53%Jul 29: 72 hits of 244 graded (29.5%), −$630.22Jul 29: 172 misses of 244 graded30%Jul 30: 93 hits of 249 graded (37.4%), +$656.04Jul 30: 156 misses of 249 graded37%Jul 30Jul 31: 97 hits of 301 graded (32.2%), −$830.64Jul 31: 204 misses of 301 graded32%Aug 4: 58 hits of 198 graded (29.3%), −$63.28Aug 4: 140 misses of 198 graded29%Aug 5: 26 hits of 86 graded (30.2%), −$79.47Aug 5: 60 misses of 86 graded30%Aug 6: 94 hits of 264 graded (35.6%), +$120.05Aug 6: 170 misses of 264 graded36%Aug 6Aug 7: 104 hits of 329 graded (31.6%), −$16.74Aug 7: 225 misses of 329 graded32%Aug 10: 100 hits of 261 graded (38.3%), −$21.76Aug 10: 161 misses of 261 graded38%Aug 11: 61 hits of 198 graded (30.8%), −$112.73Aug 11: 137 misses of 198 graded31%Aug 12: 71 hits of 219 graded (32.4%), −$101.42Aug 12: 148 misses of 219 graded32%Aug 12Aug 13: 65 hits of 235 graded (27.7%), −$158.14Aug 13: 170 misses of 235 graded28%Aug 14: 54 hits of 231 graded (23.4%), −$210.73Aug 14: 177 misses of 231 graded23%Aug 17: 63 hits of 195 graded (32.3%), −$10.27Aug 17: 132 misses of 195 graded32%Aug 18: 83 hits of 223 graded (37.2%), +$83.12Aug 18: 140 misses of 223 graded37%Aug 18Aug 19: 98 hits of 267 graded (36.7%), −$60.25Aug 19: 169 misses of 267 graded37%Aug 20: 75 hits of 218 graded (34.4%), +$52.77Aug 20: 143 misses of 218 graded34%Aug 21: 82 hits of 252 graded (32.5%), +$168.89Aug 21: 170 misses of 252 graded33%Aug 24: 64 hits of 228 graded (28.1%), +$140.96Aug 24: 164 misses of 228 graded28%Aug 24Aug 26: 66 hits of 195 graded (33.9%), +$123.66Aug 26: 129 misses of 195 graded34%Aug 27: 59 hits of 226 graded (26.1%), −$111.98Aug 27: 167 misses of 226 graded26%Aug 28: 72 hits of 205 graded (35.1%), −$136.97Aug 28: 133 misses of 205 graded35%Aug 28
Signals graded per trading day, oldest first, with that day's hit rate above the bar.
showing 20 of 32 days / newest first
02

Summary: the record so far

Cumulative output of the grader since the tape started. Regenerated nightly by the job that posts this page; no figure here is typed by a person.

01
6,141
signals graded
02
33.5%
target-hit rate
2,056 of 6,141
03
32
trading days on the tape
04
+0.45%
median return per signal
05
−$1,107.42
cumulative P&L, paper
at fixed trade sizes
06
none, ever
manual edits
no day re-graded by hand
data through Aug 28, 2026 · re-drawn nightly−$1k−$500$0Jul 14: day +$173.26, cumulative +$173.26Jul 14: day +$173.26, cumulative +$173.26Jul 15: day −$165.10, cumulative +$8.16Jul 15: day −$165.10, cumulative +$8.16Jul 16: day −$269.95, cumulative −$261.79Jul 16: day −$269.95, cumulative −$261.79Jul 17: day −$99.44, cumulative −$361.23Jul 17: day −$99.44, cumulative −$361.23Jul 20: day +$133.04, cumulative −$228.19Jul 20: day +$133.04, cumulative −$228.19Jul 21: day −$25.08, cumulative −$253.27Jul 21: day −$25.08, cumulative −$253.27Jul 22: day −$163.80, cumulative −$417.07Jul 22: day −$163.80, cumulative −$417.07Jul 23: day −$122.37, cumulative −$539.44Jul 23: day −$122.37, cumulative −$539.44Jul 24: day +$105.68, cumulative −$433.76Jul 24: day +$105.68, cumulative −$433.76Jul 27: day −$77.34, cumulative −$511.10Jul 27: day −$77.34, cumulative −$511.10Jul 28: day +$602.79, cumulative +$91.69Jul 28: day +$602.79, cumulative +$91.69Jul 29: day −$630.22, cumulative −$538.53Jul 29: day −$630.22, cumulative −$538.53Jul 30: day +$656.04, cumulative +$117.51Jul 30: day +$656.04, cumulative +$117.51Jul 31: day −$830.64, cumulative −$713.13Jul 31: day −$830.64, cumulative −$713.13Aug 4: day −$63.28, cumulative −$776.41Aug 4: day −$63.28, cumulative −$776.41Aug 5: day −$79.47, cumulative −$855.88Aug 5: day −$79.47, cumulative −$855.88Aug 6: day +$120.05, cumulative −$735.83Aug 6: day +$120.05, cumulative −$735.83Aug 7: day −$16.74, cumulative −$752.57Aug 7: day −$16.74, cumulative −$752.57Aug 10: day −$21.76, cumulative −$774.33Aug 10: day −$21.76, cumulative −$774.33Aug 11: day −$112.73, cumulative −$887.06Aug 11: day −$112.73, cumulative −$887.06Aug 12: day −$101.42, cumulative −$988.48Aug 12: day −$101.42, cumulative −$988.48Aug 13: day −$158.14, cumulative −$1,146.62Aug 13: day −$158.14, cumulative −$1,146.62Aug 14: day −$210.73, cumulative −$1,357.35Aug 14: day −$210.73, cumulative −$1,357.35Aug 17: day −$10.27, cumulative −$1,367.62Aug 17: day −$10.27, cumulative −$1,367.62Aug 18: day +$83.12, cumulative −$1,284.50Aug 18: day +$83.12, cumulative −$1,284.50Aug 19: day −$60.25, cumulative −$1,344.75Aug 19: day −$60.25, cumulative −$1,344.75Aug 20: day +$52.77, cumulative −$1,291.98Aug 20: day +$52.77, cumulative −$1,291.98Aug 21: day +$168.89, cumulative −$1,123.09Aug 21: day +$168.89, cumulative −$1,123.09Aug 24: day +$140.96, cumulative −$982.13Aug 24: day +$140.96, cumulative −$982.13Aug 26: day +$123.66, cumulative −$858.47Aug 26: day +$123.66, cumulative −$858.47Aug 27: day −$111.98, cumulative −$970.45Aug 27: day −$111.98, cumulative −$970.45Aug 28: day −$136.97, cumulative −$1,107.42Aug 28: day −$136.97, cumulative −$1,107.42Jul 14Jul 20Jul 24Jul 30Aug 6Aug 12Aug 18Aug 24Aug 28−$1,107.42
Cumulative paper profit and loss (P&L), day by day. The last point is the same figure as the tile above it, to the cent.
03

By price band

The same tape, split by the share price of the stock each signal named. Every band swings off the same centerline, so a losing band is drawn exactly like a winning one: same line, same scale, opposite direction.

sub-$1
1,940 graded · 694 hit · 35.8%
+$390.20
$1-5
2,590 graded · 850 hit · 32.8%
−$645.47
$5-20
1,316 graded · 419 hit · 31.8%
−$632.06
$20+
295 graded · 93 hit · 31.5%
−$220.09
all bands
6,141 graded · 2,056 hit · 33.5%
−$1,107.42

3 of 4 price bands show a net paper loss. They sit on the same centerline as the winner, drawn at the same scale. What did not work is posted with everything else.

methodology

How a signal becomes a mark on the tape

01

What is a Signal?

During the session the system reads the market minute by minute and fires a signal in real time when it predicts a stock is about to move +5%. A signal is one such call, on one stock, on one day. This page reports outcomes only: no model internals, no ranking, no live feed. Nothing here is actionable today; the newest gradeable day is yesterday.

02

The fixed grading policy

Every signal is graded by one rule set, the policy, fixed before the day is graded and never changed: a +5% profit target, a two-hour window (120 minutes of market time), exit at the end of the trading day if the target is not reached, no stop-loss, and entries only after 10:30 ET. A signal that reaches +5% inside the window is a hit; one that runs out of time is a miss.

03

Paper results at fixed sizes

The dollar figures are paper results: what the policy would have made or lost if each signal had been traded at the same fixed dollar size every time. No real money traded these figures, and they are not fund performance. That is why every dollar figure on this page carries the label 'at fixed trade sizes' (the industry term is notional sizing).

04

Published the next morning (T+1)

The system fires its signals in real time during the session; nothing is published in real time. Each day's trading is graded the following morning and posted here by an automated job, one trading day after the fact, which is what 'T+1' means wherever it appears on this page. There is no same-day or live signal here. Member access to the system's signals is a separate product, delivered after a stated delay, under rules fixed in advance.

The reasoning behind this record is published as letters, by Verbatim. subscribe →